Welcome to our 10th installment of the Deliberate Way. I’m Dan Seewald. Your Host. And we’re going to be talking MONEY and DECISION MAKING today. Two of my favorite topics. And I’m joined by one of the more sought after speakers and thinkers in this space, Mr. Jeff Kreisler.
In this episode, Jeff shares a bit more about:
His philosophy behind his quote: “A wise man knows himself to be a fool, but a foolish man opens his wallet and removes all doubt.”
Why lottery winners have a high chance of bankruptcy
Irrationality around money
And More!
The Science Behind an Impulse Buy
What’s The Power Behind Social Proof?
Advise Yourself Before Others
Can Behavioral Economics Work Against You?
You Can’t Always Change Your Ways
Should You Play The Lottery?
Welcome to the deliberate way. I’m Dan Seewald and in today’s episode...
all right folks well hold on now don’t hold on we’re we’re already here I’m Dan
seawald and we’re getting ready for our next deliberate way podcast and we got a
great one here I think you’re gonna love it you know personally as a former
accountant CPA from long long ago I love numbers and you know as a person who
doesn’t mind money I also like talking about money and decision making so we got a great setup here for today we’re
going to be talking about decision making we’re gonna be talking about money two of the favorite topics of most
people and I’m joined by one of the most sought after speakers and thinkers in
this space Mr Jeff Chrysler so Jeff thanks for being here today thank you
for having me and uh for immediately triggering my imposter syndrome that was a very nice introduction
well you’re there’s no impostering here that’s not a word is it well it is
we’re going to do something which usually makes people uncomfortable uh well there are multiple things that make people uncomfortable but I’m gonna tell
you about you so stand by you can correct me if you don’t like anything I say but you know Jeff you are the head
of Behavioral Sciences at jpmorgan’s private banking business I believe that to be true and you came into this field
from somewhat of an unexpected place you were a lawyer a stand-up comedian is
that right I think that is yes that is correct
parents our parents didn’t get proud until the end of the journey the lawyer it’s a comedian was a dead period there
well I I think there there’s definitely some good graces there but uh listen who’s getting the last laugh now all
right bad joke um Jeff you’re a two-time best-selling internationally published author your
work’s been praised by the Journal The Wall Street Journal CNBC Business Insider CNN and quite a few others and
you kind of got some pretty good Acclaim from your collaboration and work with uh
the famous behavioral Economist Dan arieli and uh you know a whole lot more it’s it’s great to have you here and uh
you know we’re going to be tapping into your Behavioral Science expertise particularly when it comes to financial
decision making so stand by for that um before we jump in though I want to
just note that today we are going to try out a bit experiment so the first part
of the podcast Jeff and I we’re gonna chat a bit we’re going to take some of your questions right in the middle so
you have questions get those in LinkedIn live shoot them in we’re going to bring them I bet you’re probably going to have
a lot of them and then um right after we’re going to try out the experimental part we’re going to
have some live questions some challenges for you as our audience and Jeff as well
to try to solve these are some pretty cool questions that tap into Behavioral
Science and behavioral economics and to see what would you do kind of like that uh that TV show on on ABC I don’t know
if it’s on anymore but we’re gonna have a chance to see what would you do and then Jeff I’m going to ask you to share
a little bit of background about why would or wouldn’t somebody do it so that’s what’s in store for you and you
know Jeff the first thing I’m going to do is I’m going to just kind of put the ball in your court by going into the
deep end of this Behavioral Science pool it just so happens yesterday I put out a polling question on LinkedIn
and I asked people a number of years ago a group of researchers were studying
happiness of lottery winners and they compared lottery winners to the people who kind of every day never won a
lottery which is probably most of us and we give them three options one were the
winners of the lottery happier than most non-winners were they less happy than
non-winners or was there no difference at all now the last I checked most
people thought that people who win lotteries are generally are happy or are happier than the average person but
before I reveal the answer because I promised I would what do you think the result is or what what’s Your Gut feel
on that uh my gut feeling on that is that people who win lotteries could be happier if
they are intentional with the decisions if they have a healthy relationship with money and money what it means to them and what it can provide but the truth is
most of us are not so I would probably Venture that people end up pretty much even there’s obviously going to be a
peak of pleasure and satisfaction but uh there’s I don’t know how in the weeds
you want me here but there’s a thing called the attorney who you talk to the hedonic treadmill or um lifestyle creep
or basically like you get money and then but your life doesn’t necessarily change you have shining your toys you have a
bigger place but who you are and what you’re about and what your your identity is doesn’t necessarily change so we
settle back in so that’s my long-winded way of saying I think it’s going to be more likely every winners and
non-winners in the long run are the same it’s almost like you saw the answer key to this question you are a hundred
percent correct I I actually thought it would have been that there would have been more are happy I mean how could
they not be but the way you explained it that actually makes a lot of sense so thank you for that and um I’m gonna just
ask you another question about lotteries just to go with the lottery themed here a lot of people play Powerball or
whatever other lotteries are happening in their area is it a bad idea to play the lottery I don’t want to burst a lot
of people’s bubbles but my whole group of college friends said why don’t you play the lottery see well like how could
you not and I I don’t love playing the lottery and I thought I was in the minority but is it a good idea to do the
lottery what do you think I’ll give you the the textbook answer and my answer the textbook like economic rationality
is no it’s some people call it uh attacks on the depending on who your dog
attacks on the stupid or the financially illiterate wait hold on a second I’m
yeah I don’t want to offend anybody um that’s what somebody me I say yes
play the lottery but Again Play it intentionally like don’t say okay the
lottery is 800 million dollars so I’m gonna buy lottery tickets or I can buy 20 tickets versus when it’s only 10
million dollars I can buy one or don’t don’t start to treat it like it’s an investment
play the lottery like you might go see a movie or you might watch a funny YouTube
clip it’s it’s the playing of I get to spend a dollar or two dollars and and it
allows me five minutes of daydreaming it allows me that pleasure of thinking about it
um if you’re playing the lottery because you want to win and you think you’re going to win then you are being taxed by as a fool
um if if you get it and you’re so into but if you can treat it and name it I
this is sort of how I do it as like here here’s the thing like what do we spend two dollars on ever that provides us the
pleasure of five minutes of daydreaming and in your day-to-day life right you buy the you’re going home from work it’s
been a long day you’re late for your dinner with your kids if you can stop by a kiosk and grab yourself five minutes
of daydreaming that’s probably worth two dollars I I love that a day on it don’t
right yeah you know it’s funny I I you know there’s I remember there was like
uh what was the old headline for like a dollar in a dream or something like that
um they must have hit on that notion I think a lot of people do think it’s a an investment and they buy 15 or 20 tickets
thinking they’re improving their statistical odds but there can’t be any way it’s really improving their odds is
there no I mean statistically no I I suppose if she bought a billion tickets you probably I don’t know what the
number is if the rods are one in a billion but that’s a lot of work and you probably wouldn’t get it any time that’s a lot of work you might as well invest
in something else well let me um kind of Turn the Page just a little bit
um there was a quote that I came across um from quite a few years ago that you wrote an article you said something to
the effect of a wise man knows himself to be a fool but a foolish man opens his
wallet and removes all doubt it kind of reminded me of Mark Wayne and uh and I love Mark Twain’s quotes what did you
mean by this tell me a little bit more how does this connect to kind of the work that you do in the field of
Behavioral Science sure so I believe the quote is a wise man knows herself to be
a fool a foolish man opens his mind or excuse me opens his mouth and removes all doubt
um and I’m also a big Mark Twain fan um essentially like it was about the
challenges of financial decision making um and that what we tend to do is we we
think uh in the abstract in sort of um a cool state if you will or system
one thinking or system two depending on your your term of choice when we’re being thoughtful and high level that
where we make wise decisions but then when we open our wallet or open our mouth to speak or when we make the
choice We tend to be reacting emotionally we tend to often make irrational choices and so we are all
foolish like you know I I now work in a in a Place full of financial advice experts most of whom have their own
financial advisor because they know when they’re making their own choices their rationality the emotion the personal
aspect comes in and that’s just a way of saying it’s it’s normal I want to normalize the fact that we all make poor
financial decisions sometimes we can get better well let’s start by eliminating shame um and then recognize okay let’s put in
systems to improve it but but the truth is is the first chunk is that is that the wise man knows that he or she the
wise person knows that he or she uh is prone to making poor choices
um and so doesn’t always make the choices quickly and rationally um whereas the the person who doesn’t
realize that they make poor choices just barrels ahead believe in themselves right and opens their wallet and YouTube
you’re just a kind of backtrack a little bit your work during the day is that JP
Morgan the Private Client side and uh Behavioral Science and financial
institutions it kind of makes sense theoretically to me but what does that mean well why do they need Behavioral
Sciences how do they use Behavioral Sciences um in this space so so broadly speaking
um you know my my role is both to to share with our clients and and the people that deal with us as well as
internally like what are some of the challenges people have making financial decisions um it’s not like a secret sauce behind
the door or whatever the expression for secret sauces um it’s just saying look yes Finance is
numbers and data and research and charging graphs and and all of that is important but at the end of the day our
financial choice is small or big you know daily latte from Susie Orman or where we go to college and how big our
mortgages all of those choices are emotional um and that emotion
um it can often lead us to make choices that are contrary to our goals
um and so the the perspective here and and I work in the part of the bank that deals with um sort of financial planning
uh wealth strategy advice for long-term Investments not not the commercial or not the like the retail Banks
um and we are here to basically understand what our clients goal is I
want to retire I want to be a philanthropic I want to support my daughter’s business whatever it is and
then help them achieve that goal where I come in is recognizing that from a moment of goal setting on day one to
achieving that goal which can be a year it could be 20 years it’s gonna be on your lifetime a lot can happen and along
the way whether it’s volatility or changes or whatever it is like we as people can be impacted emotionally and
our goals the long term can be frustrated by the short term and so it’s just like look it’s it’s your money you
get to do what you want our job is to make sure you’re aligned with your goals or if your goals have changed great let’s change things and it’s essentially
to say look we we we’ve built literally buildings because we create great advice
but we also recognize that for each person that advice is very personal and is very emotional and that’s not pretend
it’s not let’s Embrace that and and see how we can sprinkle that emotion on top of the great research and resources that
we have so that everyone walks away feeling good about their Financial Health and their financial future so
without embarrassing any particular person and this could be somebody in your life or folks that you’ve come
across what are some of the most common sort of sort of irrationalities that you
come across and you know Dan arieli kind of coined that you know predictably irrational
um statement it gets used all the time and it really fits well but what are some of the predictable or rationalities
that you come across kind of in your in your day job um I would say without uh attributing it
directly to my day job so I mean there are a ton um and I think that one is the challenge
of again thinking about the future right when we’re making financial decisions big or small it’s about planning for the
future um but it’s hard to really connect to the Future there’s a there’s a principle
called present bias um a man you probably know Hal hirschfeld recently put out a book
called your future self and it’s all about the fact that the emotions and temptations of the present what we feel
right now greatly outweigh the emotions Temptations and feelings of the future so when I’m making a choice whether it’s
2 A.M am I going to have a cold slice of pizza should I get up and exercise in the morning or what should I do with this money to invest
what we feel right now or or might feel is going to outweigh the impact later
um in fact studies show that Jeff today thinks of Jeff in 10 years 20 years 40 years as a totally different person I
literally don’t care about him not only that between me and Jeff in 40 years as Jeff in two weeks we’ll work out Jeff in
a month we’ll eat better Jeff in a year we’ll call his mom now and then like there’s all these reasons why I should
act based upon what I feel right now and that feeling can be like I want to eat this piece of pizza it feels good and I
don’t care about my help I’ll do it later or it could be you know I I need to put an estate plan and a will
together but I don’t want to deal with thinking about which of my kids gets the house and which gets the business and
that’s like hard and emotional and it’s okay again it’s normal um but the biggest challenge we have and
and it comes out in all different contexts exercise and estate planning being just two is how hard it is to
think about that future that that thing that we want in the distance it’s why so
many any of the like the various apps that the people in the companies have designed are sort of these savings app
to help you save I want to go on a vacation next June so help me save some money and it does it automatically
because because day to day it’s hard to think about the future it’s hard to think about that stuff
um and you know the the challenge for all of us individually or as people
in a family or as advisors to others um is to help sort of lift our eyes to
the Future and not be so obsessed on on the emotions of the president sometimes it matters right like where am I going
to dinner tonight like that’s a present I feel like like am I going to be able to retire in 20 years that is something
where you can’t go out to a nice dinner every night every day of the week if you want to get there
um and so like I know I’m sort of being a bit high level Theory but this is this
challenge of connecting decisions today to impacts and outcomes later is is at
the core of all the challenges Financial in other words that I’ve seen throughout the years so I I have to ask you when
you think about the the future Jeff how do you reconcile the future Jeff the
present Jeff and even the past Jeff like when I think about you know the Dan from
10 years ago I’m like yeah I remember that jerk I don’t what was he doing and it’s they they do feel like they’re
separate entities but you have to be able to kind of have one non-sort of bipolar or or multiple personality sort
of that they’re lurking out there how do you reconcile those so that it’s one rational person that’s making compromise
and sacrifice for the good and I and I’ll just couches with one thing just just coming back from Japan uh just a
couple weeks ago or a week ago for that matter I noticed that people soccer advice for the future of others they’re
much more willing to do that whereas maybe in the United States there’s a slightly different sense of of sacrifice
for the future of others um so maybe it’s not in our DNA or or it’s maybe it’s a little harder for us
uh in the U.S but your thoughts about that of reconciling the two and how culture plays into that you hit on a lot
of points so please you know ring a bell or whatever you need me to start okay hold on there you go I’m done uh before
you’re ready um that was unplanned the Bell was ready for you Jeff but yeah do tell so first
sort of starting on your last Point um context matters uh you know we often
say everybody’s the same but everybody’s different I believe that like the the behavioral biases psychological
influences whatever your term of our like exists for all of us but our context matters our contact can be how
we grow up with the culture we grew up with how much money we had what is our funny story what are our personal goals and experiences Etc
um but you know like uh with with risk aversion as an example right like a you
know I if you if you ask me to gamble like I’m a risk-averse I don’t want to lose a thousand dollars a billionaire
probably doesn’t care as much about losing a thousand dollars but there’s a number that that billionaire cares about
right and that’s just an example like that that is his or her context there’s also the context you mentioned
culturally the cultures that are more connected to the elderly and what it’s like to be a great grandparent are
probably and and there are some research here they’re more connected to the need to plan for that so so a context matters
um that leads to sort of to get from that high level to a slightly less high level um the importance of thinking about that
future in a very concrete specific Visual and emotional way
um you know imagine you’re on a boat at Sea and it’s rough season and you stare down at the whole of the boat while the
the waves are rocking it you’re gonna get seasick but if you lift your eyes eyes to the Horizon your stomach calms
and you’re more likely to reach your destination if you put that Horizon in Focus so again it’s still high level but
like we do see that when you are specific and visual and personal about those long-term goals it’s not I want to
retire in 40 years it’s I want to retire on September 28 2063 and we’ve seen these studies so
that little specificity increases the amount not even I want to retire but I want to um have a three-bedroom house
where my grandkids can stay and I want to be able to support my my niece’s music career like just that the more
detail the more in Focus that future is long medium or short term the more we’re
connected it to it the more we are um the more difficult it is to break our
pursuit of that goal to break so that’s that’s sort of getting on there and then there are um sort of more uh sort of specific
techniques to to to get there one is just you know naming your goals in ways
that aren’t retirement and college savings you put your kids names or your own names on it little things like that
that can bring that that future into Focus um you can set up things to to make your
goals that long-term automatic so you’re not faced with having to do this heavy thinking like um one of the options
options or like on the 401K right yeah those would not be um American audience
I don’t know if you have foreigners but like when you start a job you go to your HR department and they say hey do you
want to save for retirement of course you’re like yeah of course that’s a great long-term goal about seven percent of every paycheck we put in a 401k super
do it and every paycheck comes and you kind of forget about it it just happens automatically don’t think about
it and you get there or you get along the road now imagine the different outcome if instead of that every
paycheck HR came up to you and said here’s a here’s a thousand dollars do you want to give me 350. do you want to
do you want to give me some money this week for your retirement like on the one hand we know on our head we should but
no I want that money like it’s it’s what I want well you got to pay for the dinner you’re going altitude for tonight
the dinner the shoes the cake um I use I use pizza today I think not cake
um but if we make it automatic if we another sort of system to create is the
extent that we can um instead of trying to change who we are one of my big philosophies is we
can’t change who we are um but we can sort of understand who we are and then create a framework and
assist them around us to get to the outcomes we want um and so whether that’s financial
planning or for instance and I’ll then I’ll pause I tell more ideas I could talk forever I’m sorry
um like exercise we all know and I know that I should wake up and work out every day but the alarm goes off and even if I
said it early I’m like oh it’s gonna be a pain to clear the laundry off my pellets on bike and I gotta find my shoes and like all this crap
um I can say crap you’re right uh what won’t work to change me is if I try
to treat myself like a marine and I go be a better person have more self-control you’re worthless you’re we
like get out there that doesn’t work right you might scare me once into working out If instead I recognize okay this is the
excuse I make this is why I fail this is my flaw what can I do about that and so the
night before when I think I’m gonna work out in the morning I clear off the bike and I put my sneakers and my shorts next
to my bed the alarm goes off and I see this visual reminder of the promise I made I’ve eliminated an excuse for
myself it doesn’t guarantee I’m gonna do the right thing but it’s like a little nudge I’m sure your listeners hurt term
nudge in relation to the field of Behavioral Science it just it tips the scales a little bit towards what I
myself have identified as the goal um and away from what in that present moment I might do to defeat defeat
myself in pursuit of that goal well you know it kind of reminds me of uh the uh there’s an alarm clock out if you’ve
seen this before the alarm clock one runs away from you it physically moves
away as you because the the one of the the big issues is that getting out of bed like shutting in the snooze and if
you take that away and you get out of bed it’s momentum so I mean that might be a bit of an extreme example but just
physically getting the first arms moving legs moving apply that to every other sort of uh example that that has an
impact small it’s a lot of things it is and before we move on just because you you um have a great way of bringing up
ideas I’ve haven’t thought about in a while but you mentioned looking back on yourself 10 years ago was I don’t think
you said jerk that might have been how I interpret it um I hope we have a relationship that I can say that
um that is an important exercise to look back on your past self and and remember
that in 10 years you’re going to look back on your current self similarly like you might not you know
the the growth the growth from 20 to 30 is not the same as from 30 to 40 whatever your number but nonetheless
like recognizing that 10 years ago you were present bias I didn’t think about
how you feel now and that can be a helpful perspective when realizing okay what I what I’m all about right now
isn’t necessarily what I’m going to be all about in 10 years so as best I can like what might matter
to me right you got to make like the best decision you can in the moment um you’re not going to make perfect
decisions but like as much as you can try to think about all that outcome and all how do you how do you get somebody
in the moment and I this is maybe what great financial planners and sort of advisors do but you know you’re you have
three kids or you have a busy schedule going to sports and working a job and your parents are aging and you can’t
imagine what life will be like when you’re not working anymore or maybe not
working by choice but or by by force but maybe by choice
um it’s hard to put people in that that mindset that context how do successful people kind of reframe things so that
they can make those choices and be in that context um there are a couple thoughts one is
that this is an area where again I’ll mention how Hershel there’s a lot of work figuring out like he did a great experiment where basically he had people
interact with with a virtual reality version of themselves aged right I think they put on goggles or maybe it was like
a screen they had a conversation older Jeff and then they made Financial choices and they were more future-minded
and they’re interacting with their future selves yeah like like a like an avatar of that now it
scalable right but but trying to find ways to basically make bring the future present right you can do stuff where you
lock it in like the audit 401k or you can do stuff or just started like have conversations we’re talking about big
decisions again not the five dollar lattes but the like when am I going to retire am I gonna buy this out like take
the time to think about that now that’s a challenge um but it’s I believe worth doing for
the big choices um the other technique that I that I have found useful
um and there’s a lot of context for this where I’ve seen it play out it’s not again nothing here is a guarantee this is all
ideas um is something I call advise yourself which is when you have a challenge
you’re stuck maybe you know the right thing to do I know I should exercise um or or you just sort of don’t know
what to do imagine instead of it being you with this problem it’s like your best friend comes to the same thing like
so instead of Jeff being like hey I have this big I can’t I’m just shy I don’t know what to do what if Dan came to me
how would I advise Dan first of all we’re all pretty smart we all like when we’re facing choices we kind of have a
lot of the information or we can get a lot of the information we give better advice to other people than we give to ourselves more
importantly we are kinder to other people than we are to ourselves when I face a choice that’s like about
it’s now and it’s for the future I spend most of my energy beating myself up over the past and why am I not here and it’s
unfair and this is that’s a pretty pervasive tendency isn’t it’s not just you this is every time so when we when
we give advice to other people like we just look at what we know about them like this is what I know about Dan what
he wants this is what I know about the choices the opportunities you you almost look at it like it’s just on paper and
then sometimes the act of like then saying the advice words of someone else again it’s not magic it’s not a
guarantee but it might tip the scales a little to hear you’re like I know I should save more for return Dan you
should save more for retirement that’s kind of me telling myself I should save more for retirement
um and it’s just a way to like recognize like thinking about the future thinking about like these big what’s
your legacy what do you want in life what matters to you what do you want your kids to say about you like that
stuff’s important and if you can think about it and make choices with that in mind people make better choices they’re happier with but that’s really hard like
that’s like who does who goes to like Starbucks and is like do I want another shot in here or is it going to ruin my
legacy well
that it’s a great question these the little and it is little things I’m a big believer in in small changes but
all those books yeah Atomic habits and they’re they’re they’re well you know they’re they’re interesting stories and
and they do work but it is hard to put into context I I want to ask you I want to Quick pivot for you
um get get a little more personal if you will you you when you think about the
past you and I think it’s such an interesting story The you were a Princeton grad you went to law school
and then you did stand-up comedy maybe not in that order um how did you make your way into
Behavioral Science and because it’s such an interesting place and then I I gotta ask you like how did you hook up with
Dan arieli who if folks don’t know Dan ariela you have to check them out in fact I I don’t remember if I had
mentioned this to you I’m flipping through the TV and there’s a new show called irrational um and say it’s a great show but they
base it on Dan ariely um yeah he must yeah because it’s sort of
his story how did you get into how did you make that transition look at your past self how did you move into
Behavioral Science Why did you do it um so a few things unpacked there but tell me a little bit more and then I’ll
just let the folks know time for you to put some questions in as we go along but I listen to Jeff he’s got a great story
here so I’ll give you the short version but with the caveat that I hope no one is listening for in terms of career advice
because I had a lot of luck and Fortune and privilege in my in my way but basically
um I went to college studied economics politics Russian studies uh then went to law school because I wanted to be
Thurgood Marshall and Thomas Jefferson um those jobs were not taken so law school I love school but didn’t stick
with me and I did become a comedian um and now with the benefit of hindsight I see a through line
of accommodated Behavioral Science comedian goes hey you ever notice people do stupid things and the behavioral
scientist says yeah this is why they’re both sort of observe human nature and behavior and talk about it
um even law there’s there’s a relation like lawyers Comedians and behavioral scientists they’ll look at a situation
break it down into elements then retell a story of what happened for their own means right a lawyer to get his or her
clients position across comedian for a laugh and a Behavioral Science to hopefully explain what’s going on so
there’s a through line there that the benefit of hindsight but the non-hindsight path was comedy got an
opportunity right for Jim Cramer’s Financial website thestreet.com I wrote a weekly humor column
um that gave me an opportunity then to write my first book uh which I want to be very clear was a satire it was satire
not real advice it was called get rich cheating it was about how to be Enron and Bernie Madoff and steroids and all
this stuff and it was like an informal study of of why people are misled
um I had never to the stage heard of Behavioral economics but Dan ariely got a copy of my book invited me to his
class at Duke graduate business school um and I gave a talk in character right
it was like hey you guys should cheat make money don’t worry about it um side note disturbingly large number
of people agreed with me usually like around 10 students uh but anyway that was my light bulb moment when I
discovered this field this field of Behavioral Science that basically doesn’t throw away the economics textbook and the law textbooks and stuff
that I felt like throwing away because I know how people should behave but that’s not what they’re doing in my visual I
said yeah on the mass we behave this way but individually and in small groups we we are irrational there’s a psychology
aspect and I was just like holy cow this is it and it just clicked um Dan and I did some more projects
together uh he asked me if I want to work on a book with him um I did uh that process is basically he
said here’s everything I’ve written in researched on the topic of financial decision making Bill read it and come back to me and we’ll talk about it
um and then that came out in 2017 um and it is uh in 22 countries and has
done very well um and I am not shy to admit it’s 99.9 because Dan ariely’s
name is on the book um well deserved uh I will say side note and I don’t want to get too derailed but
on the the US version of it it says big letters Dan arielli and Jeff Chrysler and while I wasn’t going to ever say my
name should be as big or bigger than Dan’s I did say listen could my name be bigger than the word and
that was my ego Victory now what’s your name is your name the same size in other countries or is just the US every place
is different I love seeing different um covers but I think it understands the headliner uh fast forwarding the book
came out from that I wanted to continue advocating for Behavioral Science not as a silver bullet but like a tool people
shot in a tool belt for family community organization personal finance all these decisions I was like this perspective is
useful ran a website called people science which you and I collaborated on some um it’s sadly been hijacked it’ll re-emerge
soon uh that was having this conversation about this new field the Behavioral Science has been researching
TED talks and NPR and books at Newfield now moving into practice so between the
researchers and the practitioners and people trying to make it work um and the challenges they’re in uh then
I also did a lot of speaking and Consulting and we find a lot of financial firms given the nature of the
book um and then in uh about three years ago JP Morgan reached out um and I to their
credit they were looking to sort of lean into the need for Behavioral Science
um I think also to my benefit they recognized that the particular place I sit
um is a culture where my skills of communication despite this rambling
answer um and and sort of being able to to speak to people from a bar full of drunks telling jokes in West Virginia to
an academic gathering in CERN um was a benefit to explain this and
then at some point in some point soon then they’d hire the PHD the data scientist to sort of like lean in but
right now it’s a very sort of communication education based situation and it’s been it’s been great like I I
I shied away from the practice of Law and earlier even going to finance initially because I had this
like perception of it of not not being I want to say not unethical but honestly
being like for the betterment of things and I’ve been happy here that we are
working towards like what client what’s your goal and how can we help you get there right it’s not client wouldn’t you
like to get in this used car or wouldn’t you like to be addicted to cigarettes or getting credit card debt it’s like you
know but being transparent um and serving the interests of our clients which hopefully you know I feel
like if I can improve people’s financial decision or lower their stress by like
point one percent right that is a massive impact so that that is driven by delusion I’ll tell you what so you’ve
triggered a number of questions a few people have sent me direct questions um a couple came before and they and
actually a couple of come during and I’ll invite for people to continue to kind of put their questions comments in
and Linkedin live and share that there but in the meanwhile so Dan uh Dan Jeff
playing the role of Dan um one of the things that that’s come up is the question of sort of the
irrationalities and specifically um somebody asked ahead of time what are
the the biggest sort of irrational decisions that you have to contend with um particularly when it comes to
financial decision making what are the things that that really that um most commonly come up that you have to to
deal with or combat or um I mentioned this challenge of the
present bias another big one is something called law subversion loss aversion
um just somewhat related risk aversion but more specifically it’s this principle that we feel the pain of a
loss much more strongly than the we feel the equivalent uh pleasure of a game so
if you lose ten dollars that pain is only made up by winning twenty dollars now this manifests itself is that for
most people again they’re always exceptions like we’re going to be more when we’re making a decision we’re going to focus more on the potential loss of
the choices than on the potential gain or you know in a caricature when the Market’s going down five percent you get
more calls to sell and when it’s going up five percent you get to buy and this can just sort of skew our choices in a
lot of context because we don’t give ourselves the opportunity to really um weigh the different options on equal
footing we’re overweighting the thing that the law sticks out um and there’s it was a great study that
I think is is so informative for like if this is a big challenge what do you do about it um and I I I’m going to shorthand the
study but basically they asked a group of people they said in retirement could you live on 80 of
your current income in about three quarters said yes then they ask a similar group in retirement could you live on 20 less
than your current income about three quarters said no same question just
frame differently essentially it’s not the right term but like essentially triggering loss aversion so for me like
that’s a challenge but okay let’s let’s try to find a way to spin that for our own benefit and the way I believe you can do that is
if you’re facing a choice right like I have I have a chunk of money something just had I sold some stock I got a Bonus
and I want to invest in the market but but the Market’s volatile and stressful and I don’t want to lose my money fine
that’s it’s your money it’s your choice I understand of course you’re going to be concerned about losing it but let’s think about what you might lose if you
don’t invest right you’re going to lose purchasing power right ten thousand dollars today with inflation everything
else is nine thousand dollars in a year right the numbers say the same but the impact lessons You’re Gonna Lose return
gains how we historically see over long term that the market is up and down but historically no guarantee past
performance not a guarantee Etc um You’re Gonna Lose pursuit of your goals right you want to be philanthropic or pay for college or retired you might
have to put that off a little longer so you you don’t necessarily it doesn’t necessarily make you do the other thing
but it gives yourself the benefit of saying okay I’m looking at this one option in terms of what I might lose
instead of changing my human nature I mean look at the other option in terms of what I might lose and at least they’re on equal footing so that loss
aversion I see manifests itself a lot of times um particularly because when people are
sort of hesitant to get into investing I don’t want to sit here and say you must invest but like a lot of it is because
we have a thing already and we’re afraid of putting in something we don’t necessarily understand right like we’ve
we’ve made this by being you know the best widget maker in Wichita Kansas and now instead of widgets it’s going to
turn into stocks and bonds at the hand of some other advisor so that is that’s a big barrier for people to to make good
Financial at least planning decisions so someone else asked the question of uh of
Behavioral signs gone wrong um are there examples of where Behavioral Science has been manipulated
to be able to kind of bring out the worst in people and any examples or practices they’ve seen and I don’t think
the questions being asked um in the sense that somebody’s looking to go out and Co-op this personally but
things where you feel like this probably was used in a more manipulative way
um yes uh one of the articles that I’m proud to publish on people Sciences about dark nudges
um or some people called sludging yeah dark notice and and you know you can
think of things from whether intentionally Behavioral Science or not you could think of things from
um cigarette marketing uh to Cambridge analytics using Facebook interaction as
you know I don’t I’m not going to have a political opinion here but of of having dark nudge uh impact
um you know my belief like I’m I’m Guided by uh you know Richard thaler um
one of the fathers of the field talked about the three pillar three ethical pillars of Behavioral Science and I
believe it not just to be good ethics but actually good design one is that um uh forgive me for paraphrasing if
you’re listening Richard um Mr Taylor uh nudges must be um transparent
uh they must be opt outable so like you don’t have to do it and they must be serving that person’s best interest so
if you’re designing something it must be selling cigarettes is not serving their best interests
automatic with retirement investment is um and I am firmly believe in and I’ve
seen it in practice at like it’s like you can trick anybody once right you can sell someone a used car
that stinks but if you want to have like a relationship and and deep satisfaction
that person’s not never coming back to you right if you want to have that person like you acting in other people’s
best interests is not just ethical it’s good business right and it’s also good for your soul
um so while there are a ton of of things where that’s happened um
and you know so much of like like the last 10 years of app design is
essentially designing and gamification so people stay on your app right get them hooked right get people so they
can’t they’re playing Candy Crush are I don’t want to accuse Candy Crush but they’re playing something some game or
some interaction they’re always on your app right and it’s designed to like trigger these emotions like I’m gonna
win a badge I’m gonna win a prize I’m gonna beat people on the scoreboard like that’s using Behavioral Science is it a
good thing is it a bad thing like you know I I would venture more addiction to anything is bad but it’s certainly
questionable any thoughts about it levels of addiction now with smartphones and Technology do you see I mean this is
sort of a little bit of a straight point but it’s tied right in with Behavioral Science how much more addiction it’s a
huge challenge like just distraction and the inability to sort of like complete thoughts or I don’t know how many people
are reading books anymore or if they’re on on Twitter it’s it’s also known as uh door stops yeah exactly paperweights
um there’s there are a handful of people doing some interesting work um Ashley willins a professor at Harvard
um a few others whose pardon forgive me for forgetting their names essentially like how to overcome this
um ironically there was a man uh there is a man named near ayal who you may know who wrote um he wrote a book called
hooked which was kind of like how to design stuff to get people like connected to your engage with your app
and then a few years later he wrote a book called indestructible which is like how to not be distracted by things but
I I like the second book better because it talks about the child there is a huge challenge of addiction and and side note
people often ask me generational differences um between particularly like the digital
NATO’s which are like the Millennials and otherwise and I’m torn because I feel like the digital natives they’re
gonna they’re gonna grown up in that and always being distracted and part of me feels like well they’ll actually have
learned how to overcome that like if they’ve achieved anything they’ve overcome more of that to achieve than
old folks like me who just in the last 10 years I was sort of set in my ways and now all of a sudden I have something hanging in my head so I remain
optimistic I appreciate that what quick thing
um and then we’re gonna do a quick another quick round of of scenarios for you where you get a chance to to have
your saying cast your your prediction um any books besides your own in Dan
arielies any books that you recommend like what are your top three if someone’s interested in Behavioral
Science what would you recommend for them to uh to peruse assuming people read books still today sure
um maybe they’ll listen to them but don’t read them right so um working backwards from very specific
to less so if you actually want to get deep in designing things there’s a book called engaged
um by a woman named Amy Butcher I always get her name b-u-c-h-e-r that talks about all the different
approaches to designing little fixes within things and like how it was done and it’s a great it has so many Rich
examples it’s very design specific um if you want to go like a higher level
which is more useful there is um you know I said not Dan’s but predictably irrational is a great intro
book that’s very accessible I think Dan’s success has come from his accessibility um Thinking Fast and Slow
um is sort of a foundational book it’s a little more academic um nudge is another one uh the work of
Adam Grant Adam Grant is prolific writer he writes some amazing stuff um Katie Milkman uh I believe recently
came out with a book um Ashley Williams also came out with a book uh there is
um influence and and books around influence Robert cialdini is sort of the the father of that
um and others uh and there’s a book right now it’s like this it’s right here in my mind I can’t quite crystallize
I’ll I’ll make the side note with saying I welcome people to through um appropriate channels to reach out and
I have I have a list and then behavioral scientists.org is a website that puts
out at least yearly if not biannual book lists and that’s okay that’s a great one to subscribe to and you know I know
we’re in the fire on that but I’m a regular reader of it it’s uh great stuff the one last thing I’m going to squeeze
in before we do this speed round Jeff um somebody asked how do you advise a
person who makes impulsive purchases and then deceives themselves to thinking that the purchase was necessary and I I
feel like maybe that was submitted by my 16 year old daughter but uh I there is
always an Impulse person purchase and I don’t know what to do about it but
um you know that one may be for for me my kids but um how what do you say to that there are
a couple things um both have to do with this concept of discretionary spending right we all have
a certain amount of discretionary spending the outside of our Necessities is our money to spend every week or month
um the first technique that can be useful is most people have a spend their money
through their credit card indirectly or not so let’s say get your credit card bill and every month with a disinterested person not your father not
your spouse but like someone else who you can talk to go through each person each purchase and explain why you did
that like what was the point of it and doing this again helps you articulate and you’re going to realize there’s no
wrong reason it’s just the only reason that’s wrong is not having a reason okay like I don’t know why about that I
bought that because I really like chocolate ice cream I bought that because I wanted to watch uh cable TV that’s fine it’s a reason but you go
through that and you’ll start to see patterns you’ll start to see moments like every Friday is payday and I go out
and spend way too much money because I’m flush or whatever the patterns that’s one thing is is to do that work
um and when you have to explain it to another person you just can’t just sort of lost it does change the game when you
have to explain you have to rationalize now the other thing you can do is you can kind of like create a system where
if you are like spending too much um most of us think of our discretionary spending as our our checking account
like what’s on our ATM or typically on the app so if you get paid you get a paycheck just like you put money into
401K you can put some of that money into like a regular savings account so you kind of put less into your checking and
it’s almost like you trick yourself now that money the savings is still there for you but you’ve created a little
friction it’s like if you sit down to watch a movie with a big bag of potato chips you’re going to eat all the potato
chips but if you sit down to watch a movie with 10 small bags of potato chips each time you open one it’s a little bit
of like friction a little bit of like should I do this you might bleed them all but like you you at least cause that
for yourself so examining your spending to figure out what’s going on and then that is one example of a system that can
help you at least the many bags of potato chips is a very
extrapolatable example for many things um the second word extrapolatable I
don’t remember the other one was I love that I’ll throw a few more out to you well I’ve got I’ve got a a fun little
game and we’ll see um how our audience engages but we’re gonna put you to the task here Jeff so
I’m gonna share my screen here right now and you’re gonna notice that there is an
interactive tool up here mentee.com so I’m gonna encourage people right now the
build to join you go to mentee.com 2420-5971 so I’m gonna give folks just a
few minutes to uh to get themselves set up for this I have a handful of questions and we’ll get to the first one
which is up here in just a moment but um you know I’ll just say a big plug for interactive games it’s a great way to
get people to engage and uh it’s a fun way to get to challenge people and Jeff what we’re gonna do is I’m gonna present
this scenario to you and and then I’m going to ask for folks to be able to kind of give their answers but I’m going
to ask you directly tell me what you think and then I’ll reveal to you the answer but I’d love for you to kind of
give us an explanation or what you think might be the explanation why Behind These now I’ll just note I did not make
these up I’ve actually stolen them from your colleague Dan ariely and his team so there is a little bit of perhaps uh
you may have some some back context but maybe not these are these are new we haven’t rehearsed this so let’s get to
it you ready I’m ready right um first question as you can see up here
right now what happens to the neighbors of people who won Lottery prizes of up
to a hundred and fifty thousand dollars I’ll note that was done in Canada so it’s Canadian dollars so that’s like I
don’t know like like 500 maybe I don’t know like not sure the exact exchange the is it first is it lottery winners
neighbors save more money because of that did the lottery winners neighbors file more often for bankruptcy or did
the lottery winners neighbors leave the neighborhood now I saw this and I thought to myself come on I mean I I
don’t even know if any of these happen but but apparently something did much more commonly what do you think is the
most common thing that happened as a result of uh of their neighbor winning the lottery up to 150 000 dollars
so while people are voting I won’t give the answer but I’ll give sort of the context or how I yeah what do you think
imagine what it’s like to be in a neighborhood and like what when people
we don’t talk a lot about money in general we talk about what we spend or say like what do you see in terms of
people’s money Behavior do you ever see their saving for retirement do you ever see their investing do you ever see
um the the decisions that are sort of for the future about money you don’t
see is consumption is a new car uh you know um uh new clothes uh maybe they’re
going on vacation more often maybe they do some Renovations on the house you see the spending so that’s one context that
we’re gonna see spending we’re not going to see good decisions long term we’re going to see that that spending
um and the other thing is the the power of social proof that that we are persuaded to behave as we believe others
like us are behaving that we are influenced by our peers those in our community whether it’s a work group or
otherwise has a massive impact on us um so if we see people spending money on
our house it it sort of makes us feel like I want to keep up I want to hurt I want to keep up with the Joneses so like
I see where you’re leaning towards so what do you think it is so in that context like I’m I I don’t see all the
choices that that uh you know Mary Smith who won the money I see her spending I increase my spending and
I would go for that middle one um you know I like that that declaring bankruptcy is the term that I have
trouble with but like I think people overspend um because they see others around them spending more and it just sort of gets
them in this mindset of that’s what you do well let’s go to the board and see how you did on that one
you are correct I totally missed this one um I thought that people would end up
saving more that was my gut reaction um clearly I got it completely wrong
that that’s a that was a really astute answer that people more often I think overspend is probably fair but according
to the study it was done in Canada a number of years ago there was an increase in the rates of bankruptcy so
that great so what how do you express your how do you express your money someone gets 150 000 if they get that
and they go tell all their neighbors hey I got this money and I invested in all then people might say oh that’s a money
but that’s what you should do with money but instead they don’t really do have that conversation they just start buying stuff maybe they invest some of it
um so people are like oh I guess you I suppose that’s a money value is to buy stuff yeah a great great Insight behind
that all right well you’re you’re doing well and what we’re going to do is we’re going to now move forward and actually
see for the next question and we’ll give our our friends here a chance to be able to have their say which type of spending
do you think makes people happier um researchers gave money to for people
to spend on either themselves or other people so the three options were
um spending money on someone else made people happier spending money on themselves made people happier or
there’s no difference at all there’s quite a bit of research in this and I listened to a couple researchers talking
about this um what’s your your visceral reaction Jeff um people are spending money where are
they spending it makes them the happiest my visceral reaction is informed by the fact that I’ve like I know probably the
researchers are talking about I thought about this and talked about it in a lot of contexts and there’s a great book and
more books called happy money uh by Michael Norton and Elizabeth Dunn um and they’ve done a bunch of other
stuff and you know it’s just I will say this in considering like how the outcome is
here when you spend money the impact isn’t just on the thing that you get and the
money in or out like is there is there some is there another aspect and when you spend money on other people there’s a social aspect there’s a community
aspect there’s an expression of Grant there’s stuff that isn’t measured in dollars and cents
um but it’s measured in the stuff that really matters to us a sense of connectivity of community
um and so for me as I see it looks like most of our people are saying um you know that that yeah it’s great to like
get myself a toy and I have fun with it but um you know sharing and pro-social
giving um is really impactful now look I mean like if if I’m in 200 000 of student
loan debt and I skip 200 000 away like I mean I’m not gonna feel great about that
but you know there’s a measure it’s almost like if you if you spend money you get some money and I buy a video
game console that feels good but you know it feels even better is inviting my friends over to play yeah like enabling that social
aspect that connectivity that we often too often forget about I see where you’re leaning towards and I I’m gonna
say that I think that you are right the uh that and 63 of the group is spending
money on someone else that’s not I that made me feel really nice and warm in my heart when I saw that people truly are
in general happier when they share versus they take here so people can test it out
I’m gonna put that up right at the end all right well I’m interested there are a couple more that we have in the the
time that we’ve got left Jeff um this one’s a little this one fascinates me a daycare put up a sign
telling parents that late pickups will incur a fine how did that sign influence
the parents Behavior did it double the late pickups did it end late pickups
completely or did it decrease late pickups by just half what’s your your so
again this is a study I talk about all the time
I told you I love some of your questions this is this is one of them so thank you um I will I will give the again the
context that leads to what I I believe is the correct answer um you know there’s a difference
um between social and transactional costs and there and they care where
there are just people are coming late to pick up what is the what is the impact of that there’s no Financial impact
right but the impact is that the people providing daycare are then have to stay later and they’re late going to pick up their own kids that the people who are
on time start to resent the people that are late that even there are arguments that but perhaps like it accelerates and
the kids whose parents come on time don’t let their kids play with the kids who are late because they just think they’re jerks there’s a reputational
aspect of community fraying it’s sort of like an Unwritten rule that you should
be respectful of this daycare that’s caring for our kids when you make it uh transactional then
it’s just uh the consequences are just write a check you know I’m 25 minutes late I can afford my box and it’s just
like it doesn’t carry the same heft that connects to like the deeper part of ourselves yeah our reputation matters
there’s always a dollar you know they say Every Man Has a price there’s a dollar for which like I don’t care about
money give me a billion dollars I can take your reputational hit right but like my reputational hit is not worth
you know something else and so when it becomes just transactional and you eliminate that social aspect it’s easier
for people to engage in the bad behavior so we’re established who you are now it’s just a matter of price I guess
there’s that old joke goes it’s uh well I’m gonna I’m gonna say that you uh you
probably knew this one well already just seeing it that it doubled the late pickups which the first time I saw this
Jeff I thought how is that possible but this is sucked there’s such great Insight in here and I think you hit the
nail on the head it changes the transaction or changes the relationship it makes us more of a transaction I’ve
got one more for you and we’ve got just a handful of minutes um so I if I go back here for a moment
um there is a study that had people thinking about their income and the the
question was in which situation do you think people would be happiest making eighty thousand dollars when
their co-workers are making a hundred thousand making eighty thousand when your co-workers are making seventy five
thousand or making sixty thousand when your co-workers are making twenty thousand
dollars this one really I thought was so interesting because I I know what my visceral response would be
um maybe it’s right maybe it’s wrong what what do you think Jeff um I I think about like the real
challenge of financial decisions is how do you how do you assess the value of something
how do you assess like is this sweater worth a hundred dollars is this job worth 60 or 80 000 and we all take sort
of shortcuts or heuristics or little paths to figure out what that is sometimes it’s uh it’s on sale so it’s a
good jump saving money or sometimes it’s just what my parents did or sometimes it’s what we call relativity which is
just comparing things to other things um comparing in this case eighty
thousand to a hundred thousand eighty thousand seventy five sixty thousand to twenty and like in in which context does
it feel like I’m more valued right in in the absence of anything else you might say it’s just your salary people pay you
what you’re worth but in that last scenario 60 when others are making 20 you feel three times as
valuable as your co-workers exactly yeah I I would look at it and
say hey 20 000 more is 20 000 more but you’re right it’s all about do I make more than other people that that is the
relativism I know we are out of time but first of all well done you are a hundred
percent A Plus student on this Chef um but uh I I want to just just ask you
just kind of a closing thought if you are kind of everyday person thinking about how do I use some of these tools
and practices in my everyday um financial decision making or in my job well any kind of kind of last
suggestions thoughts that you would recommend to folks uh I Circle back to the advise yourself technique and I
would also say like have the perspective of of the difference between big and
small choices like so often Financial advice is about small things don’t have a five dollar latte
um but really matters to big ones and I don’t want people to be stressed about every choice all the time but it’s like
we’ll be doing a home renovation and a contractor will say you know for ten thousand dollars more out of a five
hundred thousand dollar bill you can get a marble countertop I’m gonna go get it fine I don’t care it’s like it’s overwhelming then you go to the
supermarket and stress out about 50 cents more per pound for organic Tomatoes it’s never going to add up so
like don’t ignore the organic Tomatoes or the lattes but like don’t obsess all the time obsess over the big things most
of us because we can control the little purchases more than we can control the big jumpy ones we do that and we obsess
over the little stuff and I would Adventure great advice again but obsess over the big ones I I love that don’t
sweat the small stuff that’s uh Hey somebody should write a book with that name
uh Jeff thank you so much for for all the wisdom your time and insight on this
uh if people have not seen your book uh or books for that matter I have read
your books they’re awesome there there’s great stuff in there um check out Jeff’s stuff and uh and
also when people science is back up I strongly recommend check out some of the articles there are a few good ones there
there are more than a few good ones there but Jeff thank you so much for for joining and uh and and being here today
I appreciate it thank you for having me awesome all right thank you Jeff and
thanks for everybody for tuning in for us that’s it for today but our next podcast episode is gonna be coming to
you soon in the next few weeks sign on for the next deliberate way thanks again everyone
Dan is the Host of the Deliberate Way Podcast and is a professional moderator and featured TED Talk keynote speaker.
When Dan isn’t off interviewing health and wellness pioneers, his is running a Femtech Start-Up business, LiviWell, as well as leading the Innovation Advisory firm, Deliberate Innovation.
Dan is a widely published author in the field of corporate innovation, as well as a contributing writer for multiple journals. And once upon time, Dan was an executive at Pfizer, heading up the World Wide Innovation Group and developing the award winning Dare to Try Program.
Dan did his graduate studies at New York University’s Stern School of Business in Political Economy and Entrepreneurship. And when he is not working, Dan volunteers as a wrestling and soccer coach.